Another weekend and another opportunity to best the bookies beckons as we gaze into our crystal ball to see from whence the greens cometh.
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Everton vs Arsenal: Over 1.5 goals @ 1.29
It’s 8th vs 9th at Goodison in the increasingly fraught battle for European places and we’ve gone for at least two goals in this one.
Both sides are without defeat in their last three games but the spoils at stake mean Carlo Ancelotti and Mikel Arteta really have to go for the win if they’re any serious about pushing for a place on the continent, so expect an open game.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin is back for the Toffees which could bode well for them and us. The last two in this fixture has seen at least three goals scored and both defences breached, over 1.5 goals should be a breeze.
Bournemouth vs Brentford: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95
Another game with a bit riding on it, this time in the Championship where 3rd placed Bournemouth welcome Brentford who are two places and two points below them in fifth.
Bournemouth harbour faint hopes of securing automatic promotion but given they’re just three games left and the Cherries are eight points behind 2nd-placed Watford who host Millwall, those hopes are sure to be extinguished after this weekend.
That shouldn’t stop the Cherries from pursuing a 7th straight win but against Brentford who are unbeaten in 8 (2 wins, 6 draws) that could prove a tough ask.
Bournemouth haven’t kept a clean sheet in 4 games and have just one shutout in 7 games while Brentford’s run of three straight clean sheets was upended by Cardiff last time out.
The last three between these sides have produced at least three goals and both teams pursue a policy of expansive football that should see that streak continue.
Watford vs Millwall: Watford win @ 1.53
It’s a pretty easy conclusion to reach here. Defeat 11th-placed Millwall and Watford are back in the Premier League. They will win.
Mainz vs Bayern Munich: Bayern to win & over 1.5 @ 1.34
Bayern win and a ninth straight Bundesliga title is done and dusted with three games to spare, pretty huge motivation and you’ll bet Bayern to do the business even though 11th-placed Mainz have found a bit of late form and are unbeaten in 7 games.
The last five between these sides has seen at least three goals and the last four has produced four goals so a punt on over 2.5 goals at 1.33 could be worth your time.
PSV vs Groningen: PSV to win @ 1.33
PSV welcome Groningen to the Philips Stadion in the Dutch Eredivisie needing to win to retain 2nd place above AZ Alkmaar who’re tied on 61 points with them.
Roger Schmidt’s side are unbeaten in two following a loss at AZ and against a Groningen side with just one win in five and three losses on the bounce to PSV, expect only one outcome.
Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.54
An intriguing tie in Germany as 3rd-placed Wolfsburg welcome 5th-placed Borussia Dortmund to the Volkswagen Arena with both sides needing to win to advance their Champions League hopes.
Dortmund, dumped out of the UCL by Man City are four points off the top four and a win against an opponent they’ve beaten four times on the bounce will lift them to within two points of Wolfsburg.
On the other hand, a win for Wolfsburg practically guarantees them a seat back amongst Europe’s elite so expect a keenly contested affair with a liberal dash of goals.
Villarreal vs Barcelona: Over 2.5 goals
This fixture has proven to be a veritable source of goals over the years and the last four between these two has produced at least three goals.
Barca’s pursuit of La Liga might see them moderate their approach but Ronald Koeman’s side are scoring for fun and with Villarreal likely to be preoccupied with their Europa League semifinal first leg against Arsenal there might be little need for the Dutchman to apply the brakes here.
Villarreal are without a clean sheet in four games but they pack a mean punch upfront and have scored in their last ten games so they’ll trouble a Barca defence that appears to have lost their solidity of late but would the Yellow Submarines be able to keep out Lionel Messi?
Sevilla vs Granada: Sevilla to win @ 1.46
Sevilla are pretty safe in the top four, 17 points off their nearest challengers and in a season that is shaping up to throw a surprise at the end, can Julen Lopetegui’s side end up with the title?
They’re only six points off leaders Atletico Madrid, have won four on the trot and another win against La Liga’s worst defence would force people to take them seriously especially if results elsewhere go in their favour.