Sébastien Vettel gave it a good fight in the US to push the title race one more week right down to Mexico. Finishing behind Hamilton on second place made sure The Briton didn’t have enough points gap to mathematically win the title, but the difference between both drivers was increased to 66 points.
With Valterie Bottas no longer having a mathematical chance of winning, Hamilton only needs to finish 16 points off Vettel to win at the Mexico City circuit, that means if the Formula title race will be pushed to Brazil, Sébastien Vettel must outscore his title rival by 17 points.
Considering that Hamilton and his Mercedes W-08 have barely had any reliability issues over the last 12 months, it is difficult to see how Hamilton doesn’t finish in the top 10.
The following are the conditions that gaurantee a fourth Formula One world championship title for Lewis Hamilton.
How Hamilton Wins…
Hamilton only needs to finish withing 16 points of Vettel to win his fourth title, with two races to spare in the 2017 season.
If Vettel wins, Hamilton is world champion if he finishes fifth or higher;
If Vettel finishes second, Hamilton is world champion if he finishes ninth or higher;
If Vettel finishes third or lower, Hamilton is world champion regardless of where he finishes.
With Hamilton saying he wants to go for the race win, It looks a very long shot for Vettel to push this title race any further. For the title race to get to Brazil, Vettel would need to finish in the top two at least and hope that Hamilton doesn’t finish in the top 10 in Mexico – the last time Hamilton failed to finish in the top 10 in a Formula One race was in Malaysia 2016 which signalled the end of his title battle with teammate Nico Rosberg. Hamilton is presently the driver with the longest points-scoring streak in F1.
The intriguing battle for the title continues this weekend as Formula One is in Mexico City from October 27 to October 29.